Who does each of David and Jessica choose as the most likely winner? It’s time to find out in the Why ___ Lost Survivor 46 preview![00:00:00] Does Monday at the office feel like a storm?
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[00:00:24] Learn more at microsoft.com. Listen to On Fire, the official Survivor For those who haven't, welcome. And to bring you up to speed, once the season starts, each week we will discuss what each voted out player,
[00:03:03] or even some that don't get voted out if they get injured or leave some other way, not going to go into the little details like their pet peeves, unless they're really interesting. Instead, we will talk briefly about each of the players and focus as much as possible on things that we believe will be important to their game and how we think they'll do with the rules based on the things they've said. At the end, we'll each pick who we think will do the best and worst.
[00:05:24] that I have the butterfly effect and this is a problem. This is definitely a problem.
[00:05:25] So I apologize ahead of time to whoever I choose
[00:05:29] as my winner pick,
[00:05:31] because I feel like you're up to something over there.
[00:05:33] This is where you should wear.
[00:05:36] I know.
[00:05:37] The shirt that you got me,
[00:05:39] which is from an old video that says,
[00:05:43] why you lost and it has an arrow pointing upward.
[00:05:46] And so Jessica should be wearing it for. accepting cases where we already know they aren't using their first name. And then we'll, and as it happens, that person falls in the same order either way. So we will begin with the NAMI tribe. In orange and video people, we have a picture up so that, you know, as a visual aid for both
[00:07:03] ourselves, if we're honest, and also for you some kids who don't really want to be there. And I totally get that because, uh, when I was younger and then even as I got older, I considered becoming a science teacher, but I only wanted to do it for the kids who wanted to be there. And I knew that wasn't possible. Um, you know, and as a matter of fact, usually the way
[00:08:24] things get assigned, you have to work yourself one of the bigger guys there and he intends to play into it saying, I'll be fine being labeled as a kind of like a meathead. Doesn't understand the strategy a whole lot. Just go with the flow, has a good time, wants to climb the
[00:09:41] coconut trees and build cool shelters. That's what I want to be perceived as. Now, I had a 4.0 GPA when I graduated from him. So I do think that he's going to be able to lean into that more of the, I'm just maybe the strong guy, even if he tells him he's a science teacher, because I don't think that that science teacher idea or that career is necessarily going to come
[00:11:00] across as something that could be threatening, what should he focus on? I think that's gonna be lovely for his game as well. Okay, did you have anything else about Hunter? Let's see, I will say I was a little taken aback when I first started listening to him in his interview because I had a different expectation
[00:12:20] and just kind of on paper versus what that I ended up
[00:12:24] hearing him speak to, but I feel like he is one not noticed nearly as much as the guy who didn't make it on the show, who everybody had negative impressions of. So, you know, a lot of times alternates will then eventually get onto the next season. So hopefully, if this alternate, this guy gets onto the next season or two,
[00:13:44] he looks at all as a challenge threat, but he's mindful of that. And I always do like when they can see
[00:15:01] how other people might see them,
[00:15:03] and they can lean in on it,
[00:15:04] but they're also very cognizant of the effect
[00:15:06] that it could have on their game. definitely go get him. When she says she's capable of doing anything, that's certainly what it sounds like with all of the things that she has experienced. Her life experience to me sounds like almost movie-esque. Like, does this really happen? She's currently working in marketing. She's an entrepreneur. Essentially, she wants you to check all those emails
[00:16:21] that nobody wants to check.
[00:16:22] So if she has the ability to make you check an email
[00:16:24] that you don't want to,
[00:16:25] perhaps she'll be able to have some influence on people. feels like she's very, I think Silly Shield was one of the things that she talked about. I think that was, was that her or was that Mariah? No, that was not her. That was Mariah. Okay. But she does believe socially that she's going to do well. The other concern I have with her. Oh, no, you're right. She, it was her. You're right. It was a Silly Shield. Okay. So Silly Shield.
[00:17:40] Oh, yes.
[00:17:41] And there is a connection here with somebody else on her tribe in that regard.
[00:17:45] So we can certainly get to that it. Right. And yeah, that is a worry when it comes to playing a winning game. So, you know, and as much as I think Liz will be a fun player to watch, she also had one of the worst hot takes possible. As make a difference in people's lives across industries and the world. Actuaries have the freedom to work anywhere. And according to US News and World Report, we're the 25th top paying career. Make an impact as a fact seeker and a truth teller.
[00:20:20] Use your math skills for good as an actuary.
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[00:21:26] Now, you know, I appreciate how he recognized that Jam Jam's win showed this isn't a game about challenges or firemaking.
[00:21:29] Thank you.
[00:21:30] It's about relationships.
[00:21:32] I would, of course, add strategy to that, but many people kind of encompass the two
[00:21:36] together when they talk about relationships.
[00:21:39] If he can pull that off the way he thinks he's going to try too hard. And that could certainly not bode well for him if it's coming off as not genuine. So I don't know. I mean, I have a lot of reservations just because I'm very concerned with that. That's a big hurdle to get over. And if he is being
[00:23:02] perceived in a particular way in Ponderosa, and, when he came out, had that type of shine to him. So maybe it'll all fall into place with, with Randin, but I certainly have some concerns just out of the gate, how he's going to be perceived. Okay. All right. Next up.
[00:24:21] Is Soda.
[00:24:23] Soda is 27 years old.
[00:24:25] She is a special education Ann and how similar she feels that she will be like Mary Ann and her ability to just be sociable and likable and laugh a lot and just kind of be ever-vescent and having a good time.
[00:25:41] I think that's going to come across very well.
[00:25:44] Also, she is, as a teacher,
[00:25:46] I think she has a lot of ability problem I'm going to have with SODA is that I anytime I see SODA I say pop because so I'll just be calling her pop I'm sorry yeah that's flamboyant, slender, and sing-songy. So they'll think he's does seem to be concerned that people are going to underestimate him. However, he was the one who referenced Liz as little Shambo because oh, okay, yes. Yes. So I thought that was interesting because she's looking for her silly process that people need to make fire. As he said, no, I won the Final Immunity Challenge. I earned this. Y'all go to fire. I'll see y'all in Final Three. And I mean that could have, other than
[00:31:00] the y'alls, that could have come directly out of our mouths. Yes, I appreciate that
[00:31:04] view. Thank you, Tevin. There's will say that there is quite a few things about Venus that kind of stick out. In addition to, I'm gonna say this, I'm not trying to be mean, she has got some big feet. I'm just saying that photo, you can't see it
[00:32:21] on the second half because the Rob is covering it.
[00:32:25] That was one thing I noticed.
[00:32:26] I'm like, wow, she really does remind me of poverty. So I can actually see that with her. And I don't normally see that connection when anyone wants to equate themselves to poverty.
[00:33:41] So if she can pull it off, amazing.
[00:33:46] Because we've all seen what poverty can do. One of her favorite hobbies is playing poker, but then it was never mentioned again any other time. It's just listed in that clip. Like many others, she started watching in the early part of the pandemic, but she watched from the beginning. She didn't just bounce around or anything. She went all the way back to the beginning and saw how it evolved. And she said her favorite moment was Rob Sestornino
[00:35:03] turning things on Christie in the Amazon.
[00:35:06] She was in the middle and, you know, much like the version of the checklist on our checklist t-shirts. Exactly. In my case, on my mug. And so, you know, I I hate to say it But I do worry Venus could be first out if they lose early and she doesn't have Time to get past those first impressions that she thinks she'll make So the question is can she get in good with those people?
[00:37:42] and to the point of protecting her and if she can
[00:38:44] a decision, if you will, when they were at Ponderosa about a particular individual, they will be more inclined to want to try to get to know that person. So there isn't going
[00:38:49] to be any, I think, initial awkwardness when they're on the island, because if so does
[00:38:54] like I want to, I want to meet that girl, I need to talk to that girl, they're going
[00:38:58] to have that moment to connect. And I'm hoping that just listening to the way that Venus
[00:39:03] speaks of the game, she seems to be very. Now, I expect Ben to be quite a character on the show for however long he's there. And indeed, you know, said in his interview that he turned down opportunities to do other quote unquote reality TV projects. Of
[00:40:23] course, being a character for sure. And he does describe himself as the real life Jack Black. And, you know, he's he is certainly an interesting person. He's had quite the life.
[00:41:40] And I do think that the life experiences can help people in this game.
[00:41:45] But I feel like his approach to life is what. All right, then we can move on.
[00:43:04] I just dropped a paper.
[00:43:05] Oh no.
[00:43:07] I will get the fact that he's interested in not just the win, but the money. I think that those two things should be a consideration
[00:44:23] because I do go hand in hand. And also his description of being a long distance runner becoming or become if he gets too enchanted by one Alliance partner, which I thought was interesting. So he might struggle a little bit with that move that we so many people talk about Jesse and Cody, you know, he got to like make that decision to cut your number one. He might have a little bit of trouble with that. So I am concerned with how he's going to manage that while he's on the island.
[00:45:43] Yeah, I, you know, I think he's meaningless these days. And even if it's not, the last thing you want to do is call people out when they're about to vote. Yes. I mean, it's like people could come in there with a plan and then you start calling them out. They're going to be like, what the hell is this guy doing?
[00:47:02] And even if it doesn't happen in that vote, it can move on to Gem, who is 32 originally from Guyana. I think I pronounced that right. And now in Chicago. So yay. Yes. Her husband is a Survivor superfan who introduced her to the show early in the pandemic. She is a retail manager in charge of two stores, but she doesn't plan to tell people about
[00:48:21] her sales experience because, you know, sales people. That's a problem. Yeah. Now, some of the things she said about her plans sound good at first, but maybe not fully upon further analysis, such as how she doesn't intend to be the one making all the big moves, but rather she'll be helping and have the idea, but let other people do it. That way when she's at the end, she could take credit for them. Now this is good, but it doesn't really how it would all play out given the contradictions. Yeah, I was definitely struggling with her just because I feel like she she has a lot of qualities, but I don't know how well they are going to ability to play the game. I also find it interesting. She's another one of there's, I think at least three on the on the cast whose spouses were the ones who loved the show and they didn't.
[00:52:20] And so she's now playing this game that her spouse was the one who really found and introduced
[00:52:26] her to. someone who, the parent coach thing I think is interesting. She actually coaches parents how to be parents. Like it is actually what it sounds like, which I didn't know that that was a thing. I didn't either and I feel like I have known people over the years just listening to her talk about her existence and the things that she's accomplished and that she's done throughout her existence. I just, this woman just, she just runs marathons and just everything that she
[00:55:00] does is like, it's bigger, better than, than everyone.
[00:55:04] And, and I, I feel like Cody, until she cuts them, of course, which she says she's willing to do. Maria is one of the people this time who has watched for a long time
[00:56:21] and originally applied 20 years ago.
[00:56:24] She also plays mafia and likes strategic gameplay.
[00:57:23] And people were saying, well, there's benefits and there's also huge problems that come with that
[00:57:26] and how you will be perceived.
[00:57:27] She was just like, I'm going.
[00:57:29] So.
[00:57:31] All right, so we just had Maria.
[00:57:32] Now we will move to Mariah.
[00:57:36] Really, why did they do this?
[00:57:37] They put Maria and Mariah on the same track.
[00:57:39] I will say on Twitter, she is Mo.
[00:57:42] Mo?
[00:57:43] So maybe she's Mo on the show as well.
[00:58:42] something I used to do at work too. It's about what's most applicable
[00:58:43] between her job and survivor.
[00:58:45] And she said, I think something called subtle influence.
[00:58:49] I work with people much higher than me
[00:58:51] on the ladder in my daily job.
[00:58:53] I can't go to the mayor and say, mayor sign this.
[00:58:56] That just doesn't work.
[00:58:57] So the way around that is talking to someone,
[00:59:00] getting your alliance member in real life
[00:59:02] to maybe broach it, knowing where people stand,
[00:59:04] understanding how people in relationships form,
[01:00:06] though there's a chance that she might come at it a little bit differently. Because it sounds like she understands how nuanced it is. And so I'm curious if she's going to be able to plant those
[01:00:13] seeds, but then build upon them in order to then, you know, continue the game in the direction that
[01:00:19] she wants. Some of the players that we've we have someone whose name is not at all simpler.
[01:01:41] Oh, this is me, Tim.
[01:01:44] It is you.
[01:01:45] All right, not me, but I think he's going to be enchanting. I really do. I think he's going to just kind of be someone who when he's speaking to individuals on the tribe, they're just going to be interested just because of the way that he presents himself. And I do think that I'm trying to remember when he,
[01:03:02] oh, is he the one that he, did he just apply once?
[01:03:05] And then I know there yes, that's good. You'll need swimming and some challenges. It's not the core of the game.
[01:04:20] You know, I did like what you mentioned about how one of his favorite moments was more about
[01:04:25] strategy that Gabler Jesse Cody thing. that in your mind already? Like, if you don't already know these things, then now it's too late to be learning it. He's like, I'm reading books, like how to win friends and influence people. But I'm doing that in my eye. I would call it and I don't remember what word he he used. But he's, he's not presenting those parts of himself, which also will lend to
[01:05:40] that enigma. Like, what is this guy all about? Because he's not doing the same types of things
[01:05:44] that we might see other people doing who are reading and reading puzzle books or these you know based purely on you know keep the strong around it probably shouldn't be him, but I Just I don't know that people will warm to Ben that much Yeah, I I feel like part of Ben's potential problem is going to be the
[01:07:01] perception and the love that has come with some more exuberant characters that we've seen as of late and
[01:08:08] a hard thing to predict, but I think if I'd have to pick between the two, I do have my concerns for Ben. I share in that concern for Ben.
[01:08:12] Yeah. As far as doing well, I think Mariah Mo will do well from this tribe.
[01:08:19] I think she's... Again, there's something about her that just kind of speaks to a lot are in purple. There is the Yanyu tribe. There it is. And we will start with Banu from Yanyu. He is a 41 and IT quality analyst, originally from India, now in Massachusetts. Banu said he's very good at making first impressions
[01:09:41] and added he's a very people person,
[01:09:44] both of which will be very helpful here that he can do that. But the one statement in his interview that gives me the most pause is when he said, I always say, even in my casting interviews, that Jeff Probst has been my guru. And as my guru quoted, there's only one winner. Most of us are either going home or are on the jury.
[01:11:01] I want to play the game.
[01:11:02] Whatever falls in my lap, I just want to take it,
[01:11:05] and I'm just going to go with it.
[01:11:06] I'm going to ride the tide.
[01:11:08] That's my strategy. I do appreciate the background that he described and how that's going to help him in the game because he said we never grew up crushing people's hearts because we all grew up on the streets. And so I do think that that's going to give him a different perspective to look at the game, but it also might be that much more difficult for him to crush people's hearts All right. Well, we can move on to our last name contestant here. Delinsky. Yes. Also David. Let's, let's be, you know, let's be clear. David, David, but he doesn't want to be known as a David.
[01:13:41] David, I understand that he crammed, he's pursuing gaming management and international business as well.
[01:16:20] So he certainly seems to be someone who is a go-getter
[01:16:23] and really wants to play this game.
[01:16:26] I mean, he can crush Bhanu.
[01:17:40] I'm just saying, you know, there seems to be that might, that might be something that,
[01:17:48] uh, could happen. whiff of arrogance to it and that he hasn't even set foot in the game yet, but he's very certain that he'll be able to read the jury. Um, I mean, Jeff Probst and the staff psychologist think he makes connections too early, but Jolynski says he would cut his number one. So who's going to be right here?
[01:19:02] Like, is he going to do it just to prove them wrong?
[01:19:04] Which I think would be funny.
[01:19:06] Um, a little arrogant, right?
[01:19:07] Yeah. That is fair. That is fair. So I don't rule anything out. But I'm hopeful he's just talking about it metaphorically. But the worst thing Jelinski said by far was that LeBron James is the goat over Michael Jordan. And I simply cannot accept such slander.
[01:20:24] And therefore I'm telling you now he will not be my winner pick.
[01:20:27] Well, what is he like 22 years old? She goes by Jess, I think. She is an identical twin. And I have to say, I'm sure I've said this before. I have long wanted a season of all identical twins on two tribes so that we could see how they interact differently. Like, are they going to team up with the same people?
[01:21:41] Or are they going to like get mad at each other?
[01:21:43] And then when they come together at the merge,
[01:21:45] how could you team up with that person?
[01:22:48] Oh my goodness. I do think that one of the other things that she referenced is that
[01:22:55] when somebody crosses me or does something that I think is egregious, like bullying someone, I'll usually do something about it. If I don't confront them directly, I'm going to turn everyone
[01:22:59] against them. Public opinion is more important than anything else. So there's like, there's a
[01:23:03] couple of things here that I just want to unpack. Like we've said, you know. This is crazy. Craziness. But we can move on now to the next player. Okay. Oh, Kenzie. So we are introducing Kenzie. She is that she has and the life that she's living and the business that she's running that could potentially put her in a who was a super friend. So if Kenzie does well, this would be the first time a psychic did anything useful.
[01:27:01] Of course, I also have to wonder
[01:27:03] why a psychic bothers to watch Survivor
[01:27:05] since they should already know what happens ahead of time. Another thing Kenzie said she has to work on, or one thing, is keeping a secret, which is important. You don't want to break the second rule. And that also goes to idols and advantages where she wants to keep it to herself if she finds one but knows it will be difficult. I'm going to bet that she'll tell people just judging from what she was but I don't know if she's going to necessarily come across as that quirky. So it'll be interesting to see, but I just know that a lot of people seemed very interested and curious about her in their descriptions as they were being asked about people they've noticed. Yeah.
[01:29:40] All right. Well, we can move on to Q.
[01:29:43] Q is 29, a real estate agent originally from Mississippi one has ever seen. So he said every day was a fight or a celebration, which also sounds a lot like Survivor. For sure. His history with Survivor is similar to many that we've discussed, started watching early in the pandemic. Also similar to others, his wife is the super fan and she introduced him to the show. He watched every season in three months, which is great.
[01:31:03] We've talked previously that this doesn't really give a time, this game, all odds are against me. I'm young, I'm athletic. I would say I'm likable. So that's a recipe for disaster. So he plans to act like a shield by, uh, by having a plan to get rid of other people. Unfortunately, his plan is ambitious to say the least with him saying he'll just
[01:32:21] win challenges at final seven, six, five, and then make fire at four as if boom.
[01:33:24] pretty quick. Yeah, I think I see very little chance they will vote him out first because of challenges, but I also don't see him making it to final 7-6-5.
[01:33:31] Right, exactly. I agree. Alright, next up, someone who is trying to steal the name
[01:33:40] of one of our friends here. I am flipping. We know that we always enjoy a good facial expression, but it could be a giveaway for her when she's out
[01:35:00] on the island. She also talks about when she's upset, how you
[01:35:06] know, letting everybody know that I'm upset is going to be
[01:36:03] And so him being on her tribe, you know, maybe that's something that will end up seeing a relationship
[01:36:06] created there because she is looking for a ride or die.
[01:36:09] So I think overall, she has a very interesting approach
[01:36:14] to the game.
[01:36:15] And I think that overall, she's certainly someone
[01:36:18] who I enjoyed and I do love that she was talking
[01:36:23] about advantages and said,
[01:36:25] why can't people just shut the F off of them?
[01:36:28] Like, why do they have to tell everyone? and also not having a filter when people, you know, if she gets upset. I worry a bit, much like I did with Kenzie, about her discussion of being in Tiffany's world where usually things go her way. Like she said, she does well overall in the lottery. Okay. Yes, right. If you play the lottery regularly, you don't do well overall in it.
[01:37:43] I'm sorry, you just don't.
[01:37:45] And it sounds a lot like confirmation bias to me. to Jessica and a Tiffany. Tiffany. No, it encompasses all of us. It's all of us because Vozhe is also a David. I know. And we referred to Vozhe by his last name, and we have a Gilinsky. So there's some things happening here. Yes. All right.
[01:39:00] With that, a tribal prediction we need.
[01:39:06] I know you think Kenzie will do well in social bonds. Thank you. So, and then you also have Tiffany who is looking at Q and so there is a connection there. That kind of puts Jessica in this, you know, middle position and I have some reservations with Jessica because I do think that she doesn't really have that type of an impression in Ponderosa, which can have an effect on the game. So I don't think that that is an incorrect assessment, even though I think she sounds like a lovely human being and I'm hoping that she ends up doing well. I can't pick Jessica is going out first because that would be terrible, right?
[01:41:41] Yes.
[01:41:41] So I would have to agree with Kenzie.
[01:41:45] All right, so it's time for our overall predictions. I was definitely struggling when I was going through trying to determine who I thought was going to be the winner pick. I wanted to be able to be like, Jessica, I was going to pick Jessica just because of my namesake. But then I wasn't really getting that feeling from her. And then I was going through the interviews again and I was listening and I was just, you know, who has this feeling about them? And gosh, SODA is just really like, there is something about her that is very just so
[01:43:06] likeable.
[01:43:07] And I don't think... just talked about, well, I mean, we mostly talk about people, but we talked about the rules too, are available in poster form. And... Ooh, look at this. Yeah, look at this. Just go to robhiswebsite.com slash YXLossfeed, scroll down to the poster, click on it and order it.
[01:44:23] And our shipping department will get it right out to you.
[01:44:26] Yes, I thought I did. I was finally I need to play catch up because this is my life. I feel like I'm always playing catch up with everything. But, you know, Survivor brings me back into this space. It is a space that I love to be in. So you can definitely find me there.
[01:45:40] And I do live tweet during the episodes this Wednesday.
[01:45:44] I know that, you know, the big premiere, I'm hoping
[01:46:47] Yes, it's linktree slash David Bloomberg with a dot before the EE and linktree. Or you can find me more directly on most text-based social media like Twitter and Blue Sky as
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[01:46:57] And because Threads is connected to Instagram, I'm at I discuss on Twitter as well, then you can check that out. As we continue to wrap up, I want to encourage people to check out the RHP patron program at robhazwebsite.com. You can get access to all the special podcasts that are put out just for patrons
[01:48:21] and there's Facebook groups and Discord and early access to various things like there's a
[01:49:22] from reality TV to who knows what. So, you know, go there and make sure you're getting
[01:49:26] the whole for half of it.
[01:49:28] That's right.
[01:49:29] Can I do thank yous?
[01:49:30] Yes.
[01:49:31] We would like to thank Scott Stapier
[01:49:33] for all of the editing that he does,
[01:49:34] not only for the Wide Blank Loss podcast,
[01:49:37] but also for all of the content that you just heard
[01:49:39] David Bloomberg describing.
[01:49:41] There's so much content that is available out there.
[01:49:43] So we have to thank everyone who not only does all
[01:49:47] of the editing and supports our HAP in the manner from when this should get posted. And so looking forward to that, that's about it. So thank you again, Jessica, and thank you listeners and viewers. We'll see you soon. Bye. If you've lost survivor and you're feeling down, David and Jessica will turn it around.
[01:51:01] They'll break down the rules and we'll show you how.
[01:51:04] You played yourself and got voted out.